Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000985 0.001125 0.001266 0.001418 0.001575 0.001734 0.001906
2026-01-11 0.000764 0.000965 0.001174 0.001404 0.001650 0.001902 0.002180
2026-01-18 0.000592 0.000836 0.001098 0.001394 0.001717 0.002053 0.002427
2026-01-25 0.000417 0.000684 0.000983 0.001331 0.001718 0.002127 0.002588
2026-02-01 0.000297 0.000579 0.000911 0.001307 0.001754 0.002233 0.002779
2026-02-08 0.000214 0.000507 0.000867 0.001309 0.001816 0.002364 0.002992
2026-02-15 0.000152 0.000451 0.000838 0.001323 0.001886 0.002501 0.003210
2026-02-22 0.000106 0.000409 0.000821 0.001348 0.001967 0.002647 0.003435
2026-03-01 0.000058 0.000351 0.000778 0.001338 0.002004 0.002742 0.003601
2026-03-08 0.000019 0.000285 0.000719 0.001305 0.002012 0.002802 0.003727
2026-03-15 0.000003 0.000250 0.000698 0.001316 0.002069 0.002915 0.003909
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000205 0.000656 0.001298 0.002091 0.002987 0.004044
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000160 0.000621 0.001303 0.002156 0.003129 0.004281
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000112 0.000574 0.001290 0.002201 0.003248 0.004496
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000073 0.000532 0.001280 0.002249 0.003371 0.004715
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000027 0.000456 0.001219 0.002231 0.003417 0.004845
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000006 0.000409 0.001195 0.002258 0.003512 0.005030
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000382 0.001198 0.002315 0.003643 0.005255
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000364 0.001211 0.002386 0.003788 0.005495
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000354 0.001235 0.002469 0.003947 0.005750
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000324 0.001225 0.002507 0.004051 0.005940
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000282 0.001194 0.002514 0.004117 0.006086
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000267 0.001204 0.002576 0.004247 0.006304